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The Collapse of the German War Economy, 1944-1945: Allied Air Power and the German National Railway ReviewThrough most of the last half century, the Allied Strategic Air campaign against Germany has been criticized as ineffective. Alfred C. Mierzejewski suggests that this was only true till late 1944. After that, bombing became devastating.In 1942 and '43, the U.S. and Britain attacked arms factories and housing respectively. The Germans kept fighting and war production kept going up.
In 1944, the Allies increasingly turned to synthetic petroleum plants and the German transportation system. The result was a catastrophic breakdown in all areas of the German war economy.
We'll never know what would have happened if the railyards serving the Ruhr's coal fields had been hit starting in 1940, but Mierzejewski makes a good case that it would have seriously weakened Germany much sooner, and quite possibly ended the war in 1944.
This is a very good study, well worth reading and thinking about. I recommend it to all my fellow armchair strategists.The Collapse of the German War Economy, 1944-1945: Allied Air Power and the German National Railway Overview
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